{"id":11634,"date":"2025-04-06T16:25:12","date_gmt":"2025-04-06T20:25:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/163noticias.com.br\/preco-do-petroleo-em-queda-pressiona-petrobras-mas-analista-ve-chance-de-recuperacao\/"},"modified":"2025-04-06T16:25:18","modified_gmt":"2025-04-06T20:25:18","slug":"preco-do-petroleo-em-queda-pressiona-petrobras-mas-analista-ve-chance-de-recuperacao","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/163noticias.com.br\/?p=11634","title":{"rendered":"Pre\u00e7o do petr\u00f3leo em queda pressiona Petrobras, mas analista v\u00ea chance de recupera\u00e7\u00e3o"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

A Petrobras (PETR4<\/a>) se aproxima de uma regi\u00e3o t\u00e9cnica crucial em meio \u00e0 instabilidade recente do mercado. Para Rafael Perretti, analista t\u00e9cnico, a empresa mant\u00e9m uma estrutura s\u00f3lida no gr\u00e1fico de longo prazo, mesmo com ru\u00eddos de curto prazo vindos de fatores externos e do notici\u00e1rio macroecon\u00f4mico.<\/p>\n

An\u00e1lise t\u00e9cnica: zona de suporte cr\u00edtica pode definir pr\u00f3ximos movimentos<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Segundo Perretti, o gr\u00e1fico de longo prazo da Petrobras segue com uma tend\u00eancia prim\u00e1ria de alta, apesar de ter enfrentado fases de instabilidade provocadas por diferentes instabilidades econ\u00f4micas.<\/p>\n

\u201cAo contr\u00e1rio do Ibovespa, que ficou lateralizado no p\u00f3s-pandemia, a Petrobras conseguiu romper topos hist\u00f3ricos e consolidar uma tend\u00eancia de alta mesmo em um ambiente macroecon\u00f4mico adverso\u201d, destaca.<\/p>\n

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O analista tamb\u00e9m chama aten\u00e7\u00e3o para o comportamento da m\u00e9dia m\u00f3vel de 200 per\u00edodos, uma refer\u00eancia cl\u00e1ssica na an\u00e1lise t\u00e9cnica. \u201cSempre que a Petrobras se aproximou dessa m\u00e9dia ao longo dos anos, os rompimentos para baixo falharam e o papel retomou a alta com for\u00e7a. Agora, mais uma vez, estamos testando essa regi\u00e3o, que coincide com um fundo anterior importante. Se houver perda desse suporte, abre-se espa\u00e7o para uma corre\u00e7\u00e3o mais profunda\u201d, alerta.<\/p>\n

No curto prazo, o comportamento do papel reflete instabilidade. Perretti observa uma sequ\u00eancia de gaps no gr\u00e1fico no \u00faltimo m\u00eas, explicando que eles foram causados por diferentes fatores: \u201cTeve gap por conta do balan\u00e7o, outro pelo recuo do petr\u00f3leo durante o carnaval e, depois, pela rea\u00e7\u00e3o do mercado \u00e0s novas tarifas que impactaram o pre\u00e7o da commodity\u201d.<\/p>\n

Fonte: Nelogica. Gr\u00e1fico di\u00e1rio Petrobras<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Fundamentos: preju\u00edzo cont\u00e1bil n\u00e3o preocupa, gera\u00e7\u00e3o de caixa segue forte<\/strong><\/h2>\n

No campo fundamentalista, Perretti afirma que o preju\u00edzo cont\u00e1bil divulgado pela Petrobras no quarto trimestre de 2024 n\u00e3o preocupa. \u201cEsse resultado foi influenciado por efeitos n\u00e3o recorrentes. Quando olhamos o fluxo de caixa livre, a companhia gerou muito caixa. Se excluirmos os efeitos extraordin\u00e1rios, a empresa teria registrado lucro l\u00edquido\u201d, explica.<\/p>\n

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Continua depois da publicidade<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

Ele refor\u00e7a que a expectativa para 2025 \u00e9 positiva, desde que o petr\u00f3leo colabore. \u201cA Petrobras segue entregando valor, e os fundamentos continuam saud\u00e1veis\u201d, diz.<\/p>\n

Cen\u00e1rio do petr\u00f3leo: tens\u00e3o geopol\u00edtica pressiona pre\u00e7o, mas OPEP pode reagir<\/strong><\/h2>\n

O pre\u00e7o do petr\u00f3leo tamb\u00e9m entrou no radar dos investidores ap\u00f3s declara\u00e7\u00f5es de Donald Trump em 2 de abril. O presidente americano anunciou tarifas sobre pa\u00edses parceiros \u2014 incluindo a China \u2014, o que reacendeu temores de uma recess\u00e3o global.<\/p>\n

\u201cA possibilidade de desacelera\u00e7\u00e3o econ\u00f4mica colocou em xeque a demanda global por petr\u00f3leo, e o mercado reagiu rapidamente. O barril caiu para a faixa dos US$ 60\u201d, afirma Perretti.<\/p>\n

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Continua depois da publicidade<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

No entanto, ele v\u00ea chances de recupera\u00e7\u00e3o no m\u00e9dio e longo prazo. \u201cA OPEP deve agir caso o petr\u00f3leo fique muito tempo nesse patamar. Um corte de produ\u00e7\u00e3o pode levar o barril de volta para US$ 75 ou US$ 80. Se isso acontecer, a Petrobras tende a responder com valoriza\u00e7\u00e3o\u201d.<\/p>\n

Guias de an\u00e1lise t\u00e9cnica:<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Confira mais conte\u00fados sobre an\u00e1lise t\u00e9cnica no\u00a0IM Trader<\/a>.\u00a0Diariamente, o infomoney publica o que esperar dos\u00a0minicontratos de d\u00f3lar e \u00edndice<\/a>.\u00a0<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

Fonte: infomoney<\/b><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A Petrobras (PETR4) se aproxima de uma regi\u00e3o t\u00e9cnica crucial em meio \u00e0 instabilidade recente do mercado. Para Rafael Perretti, analista t\u00e9cnico, a empresa mant\u00e9m uma estrutura s\u00f3lida no gr\u00e1fico de longo prazo, mesmo com ru\u00eddos de curto prazo vindos de fatores externos e do notici\u00e1rio macroecon\u00f4mico. An\u00e1lise t\u00e9cnica: zona de suporte cr\u00edtica pode definir […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":11635,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[55],"tags":[6631,6633,6630,1871,6576,6227,6629,2678,1473,6632],"class_list":["post-11634","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia","tag-analista","tag-chance","tag-mas","tag-petrobras","tag-petroleo","tag-preco","tag-pressiona","tag-queda","tag-recuperacao","tag-ve"],"yoast_head":"\nPre\u00e7o do petr\u00f3leo em queda pressiona Petrobras, mas analista v\u00ea chance de recupera\u00e7\u00e3o - 163 NOTICIAS<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/163noticias.com.br\/?p=11634\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pre\u00e7o do petr\u00f3leo em queda pressiona Petrobras, mas analista v\u00ea chance de recupera\u00e7\u00e3o\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A Petrobras (PETR4) se aproxima de uma regi\u00e3o t\u00e9cnica crucial em meio \u00e0 instabilidade recente do mercado. 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